If you feel like your grocery bill keeps climbing, you’re not alone. In a recent article by Business Tech, Malcolm Libera shared recent data from the Pietermaritzburg Economic Justice and Dignity (PMBEJD) group shows that Gauteng remains the most expensive province for groceries in 2025, with Johannesburg topping the list as the priciest city, followed by Durban and Cape Town.
The cost of a household food basket, which includes 44 essential food items, reached R5,313.22 in February 2025. While this marks a small annual increase of 0.7%, food inflation continues to be a concern for many households. The biggest price hikes were seen in 27 of the tracked items, with five experiencing double-digit inflation.
Why are grocery prices rising?
Several factors are contributing to higher food costs in South Africa. According to Anchor Capital economist Casey Sprake, the country’s heavy reliance on food imports makes it particularly vulnerable to global market shifts.
Additionally, concerns over trade policies in the United States, following Donald Trump’s return to the White House, could further impact food prices. Potential tariffs and economic uncertainty have already affected the rand’s strength, making imports more expensive.
On the local front, a proposed increase in Value-Added Tax (VAT) is another major concern. While the government has postponed a decision, Shoprite CEO Pieter Engelbrecht has warned that any VAT hike could have a negative impact on food affordability, especially since businesses are struggling with additional costs like power outages and supply chain disruptions.
Where are groceries most expensive?
Grocery prices vary by region, with Johannesburg residents paying the most. In February 2025, a standard household food basket cost R5,446.07 in the city, exceeding the national average by R132.85.
Meanwhile, Cape Town recorded the lowest food basket cost among the three major metros at R5,250.75, while Durban’s basket was priced at R5,254.06. Though Durban’s prices dropped slightly compared to last year, they still remain among the highest in the country.
While food inflation has slowed since its peak in 2024, South Africans are still feeling the strain of high grocery costs. Experts suggest keeping an eye on exchange rates, trade policies, and potential VAT changes, as these will play a major role in determining food prices in the coming months.
For now, shopping smart by comparing prices, buying in bulk, and supporting local markets may help stretch your grocery budget a little further.
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